Ukraine-Taiwan-US National Security Policy Options, by Armstrong Williams
The political weaknesses and disorganization of the Biden administration are the unifying denominator of the two national security crises we are currently facing: China’s emerging supremacy and Russia’s impending takeover of Ukraine. These two causes, along with the daily confusion in Washington produced by a president who is not up to the role of governing the world’s only superpower, and his team of weak, ineffective and compromised cabinet and national security officials, have put the United States in a disagreeable position.
The policies of China and Russia are influenced by the Brookings Institution. The Chinese Communist Party wields considerable influence over the Brookings Institution and finance. It’s worth remembering that Secretary of State Antony Blinken, CIA Director Bill Burns, and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan are all linked to the Brookings Institution and, by extension, the CCP.
The United States’ relationship with Taiwan has been affected by decades of shifting political goals, primarily shaped by the world war and its aftermath. President Joe Biden has caused international confusion with his statements about the “Taiwan Accord”, most recently during his appeal with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The Taiwan agreement does not exist; Biden is referring to a concept that is not real.
After losing the civil war with the Communist Chinese in 1949, the Chinese Nationalists (anti-Communists) evacuated mainland China, forming the People’s Republic of China. The Taiwan Relations Act of 1979 added to the “strategic ambiguity” of American policy. Our national security objectives would be furthered if we “maintain and develop broad, close and cordial trade, cultural and other ties between the people of the United States and the people of Taiwan,” according to this law. For decades, we have been strategically allies with the Taiwanese people.
From 1949 to today, the PRC has consistently eroded its diplomatic prestige and international relations with Taiwan, resulting in a diplomatic and trade focus on the PRC in the United States, as well as around the world. Nonetheless, we have supported Taiwan with weapons, strategic support, intelligence support, and military support over the years. Taiwan is also an important trading partner for the United States.
On the other hand, we do not have a similar history with Ukraine. Ukraine’s relations with the Soviet Union, and later the Russian Federation, changed over the years as political winds in Ukraine and Russia shifted, both during the Cold War and after the disintegration of the former Soviet Union. Russia and Ukraine have a large geographic border. The underlying denominator is once again the weak political statements of the United States and its weak position in projecting strength and political objective to both China and Russia in two complex strategic engagements and reviews.
To oppose Russia’s military build-up on the Ukrainian border, political choices are readily available. Biden exacerbated the current problem by shutting down the Keystone XL pipeline with Canada as soon as it took office, and then approving the Nord Stream 2 Russia pipeline to transport natural gas to Germany and central Europe.
Russia is preparing to station up to 175,000 troops and equipment near the Ukrainian border. The United States is powerless to prevent a Russian military entry into Ukraine. Two strategic economic choices remain on the table, however. Any or all of these factors taken together could cause Putin to reconsider his decision to engage in fighting in Ukraine, especially given the real economic danger Russia faces in the global gas and fuel market. Anbar province has the largest untapped natural gas field in Iraq. It is expected to contain 3 trillion cubic meters of natural gas. Western Iraq is a market that could be easily explored via the Turkish gas pipeline to Europe.
A military confrontation between China, Taiwan, the United States and our strategic allies of the ANZUS pact (Australia, New Zealand and the United States) is not in the interest of China, Taiwan, the United States or our ANZUS partners. The Trump administration’s trade policies, tariffs, containment and economic pressure measures worked for four years. Some bold economic actions and strategic policies could alter the CCP’s assessment of the risk of a forced takeover of Taiwan.
It is worth noting the parallels between Biden’s diplomatic disaster and Jimmy Carter’s presidency, which imploded after just 11 months in office. Many of Ronald Reagan’s political achievements throughout his two administrations can be attributed to the decisions Carter made during his last year in office. Carter changed many of his failing ideas far too late in his administration to avoid being doomed to the ash pile of history. Reagan capitalized on the last political movements of the Carter administration, turning them into great historical triumphs. If Biden still retains some form of political know-how, he will immediately begin working to change the course of history in favor of the United States, ensuring that the country is once again energetically independent, economically powerful and, most importantly. , a reliable country and a stable international partner. On a level playing field, Russia and China cannot compete economically with the United States.
Armstrong Williams (@ARightSide) is the Owner and Manager of Howard Stirk Holdings I & II Broadcast TV Stations and the 2016 Multicultural Media Broadcast Owner of the Year. He is the author of “Awakening the Virtues”. To learn more about Armstrong Williams and read articles from other Creators Syndicate authors and designers, visit the Creators Syndicate website at www.creators.com.
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